Zuck lays out his bold vision for your future
You don’t have to read it. Really. But Mark Zuckerberg has written a manifesto of sorts about the future of AI from his perspective. He’s attempting to put a sunny and humanistic spin on things, in contrast to the increasing Oppenheimer-esque cris de coeur from Altman and Amodei about the dark power they’re unleashing. I’m not going to go line by line. A year from now we’ll find that nothing he says has come to pass. I just have a couple of observations.
First, this is nothing so much as Zuck’s attempt to change the rules of a game he’s currently losing. Not to hand it to OpenAI and Anthropic, but to call them Meta’s competition is unnecessarily flattering to Meta, which has been flailing in this space for years. (And that’s after flailing in the Metaverse space before that, which everyone has apparently agreed not to mention anymore.) The piece argues for greater government oversight and greater cooperation between frontier labs. This may be correct on the merits, but there’s one reason and one reason only why Zuck is suggesting it now: because he’s eating the other labs’ dust.
Zuckerberg is committed to the term “superintelligence” as opposed to “AI,” which is clearly a calculated move but one thing he forgets to do is define it. His general descriptions are things like “exceptionally capable personal agent” and “personalized tutor and coach with a PhD in every subject.” Ok, but how is this measured? What are the benchmarks for approaching and achieving it? Do we have any way of knowing when we’ve reached it other than vibes? These are the same promises the other charlatans have been making for years, and we’re not there.
He also indulges in my favorite thing that rich idiots like to do, which is to point out some horrible thing while saying how great it is. In this case:
People also continually come up with new ideas to make our lives better and new jobs to bring those ideas to life. A generation ago there were no app developers, social media creators, electric vehicle technicians, and data center operators.
I’m basically “Lionel Hutz imagining a world with no lawyers” here.
Speaking of lawyers, Zuck also fantasizes about how much better the justice system would be with armies of superintelligent lawyer agents squaring off, his company’s data centers restoring “200% of the water we use,” and squeezing “100x or more intelligence out of each gigawatt.” He’s a slobbering fanboy masquerading as the adult in the room. It sucks.